Week 3 Waiver Wire Pickups

Week 2 was an injury week. The claim is the job. The share price is whether anyone has noticed.

Top claims: Jonah Coleman, Boston. Bigsby at $3 unless the MRI news changes. Top trade: London before Thursday. Penix starts.

Points are half-PPR. Share prices are after Tuesday's settlement. Claims run Wednesday morning. London's window closes Thursday afternoon, before the 8:15pm kickoff. If a name went in the first eight or nine rounds, assume he's rostered.

Last week's book

Ten ranked adds: 1 hit, 5 pushes, 4 misses. Two off-list calls paid: the $1 Bateman dart and the Chase buy-low.

Misses first. Kaelon Black, 7 carries and 2.5 points behind McCaffrey. Caleb Douglas, 3 targets and 2.9, now Questionable. Kendre Miller didn't play. Michael Mayer, 3.8.

Pushes, the role held and the points didn't spike: Coker (9 targets, 10.6), Washington (6.7), Vele (8.9), Golden (7.8), Otton (6.3). Coker at 10.6 is a fine week, not a payoff.

The hit was Denzel Boston. We said roster the snaps and wait for the targets. He got 7 of them, 95 yards, a touchdown, 18.0. If you got him for $2 last week, he's a WR2 now. Hold.

Off the list, the Bateman dart scored 18.3 on 9 targets. Chase went from 2.2 to 23.0 after the share had fallen to $11.22. It's $12.77 now. Volume is a leading indicator, not a guarantee.

Buy: ranked claims ($100 FAAB)

1. Jonah Coleman, RB, DEN. FAAB $18 if Dobbins sits, $8 if he practices. Exchange $7.64.
Harvey is Out. Dobbins is Questionable (hamstring) after Payton called it minor. Coleman had 10 carries, 3 catches, a touchdown, 13.3 points, on 40% of the snaps. He already trades above the starter he's backing up (Dobbins is $6.63), and the gap is about a dollar. The market priced the injury, not the job. The consensus bid is $20; pay that only if Wednesday's report is empty. If Dobbins practices, bid $8, not $20. Denver hosts the Rams on Sunday night. Claim him Wednesday morning.

2. Denzel Boston, WR, CLE. FAAB $15. Exchange $10.47.
7 targets, 93% of the snaps, 5 catches, 95 yards, a touchdown. If you roster him, hold. If you don't, $12 loses him. The share moved from $8.88 to $10.47 and still trails a 93% snap receiver. The FAAB bid was $2 last week. It's $15 today. That's what being early is worth. Carolina is next. Claim him Wednesday morning.

3. Tank Bigsby, RB, PHI. FAAB $3 as of today (reports lean toward Barkley playing). $8 if the MRI comes back worse. Exchange $4.46. Barkley is $8.23.
Barkley is Questionable after a neck stinger. He played 16% of the snaps. Bigsby had 13 carries, a rushing touchdown, 10.8 points, on 34%. We still don't have a clean MRI read as of send, so the bid stays conditional, but the reporting lean means $3 is the live number, not $8. The Eagles play Monday, which means you will know before you have to start Bigsby. Claim the share Wednesday. Decide the lineup Monday.

4. Adonai Mitchell, WR, NYJ. FAAB $5. Exchange $7.27.
12 targets, 82% of the snaps, 6 catches, 63 yards, 9.3 points. The share moved from $5.81 to $7.27. That's a notice, not a full price. Jets at Detroit. Claim him Wednesday morning.

5. Rashod Bateman, WR, BAL. FAAB $5. Exchange $7.31.
Flowers is still Out (hamstring) and frozen at $13.33. Bateman played 93% of the snaps, 9 targets, 7 catches, 88 yards, a score, 18.3 points. The share moved from $5.63 to $7.31. If Flowers practices in full, drop this bid to $1. If he doesn't, claim Bateman Wednesday morning. Baltimore is at Dallas.

If those five are gone, in this order. All of them are Wednesday-morning claims.

• Tre Tucker, WR, LV. FAAB $4 if Bowers sits, $1 if he practices in full. Exchange $8.44. 7 targets, 5 catches, 119 yards, a touchdown, 59% of the snaps. Bowers is still Out on our board, frozen at the same $8.44, a coincidence, not a repeated number by mistake; his price hasn't moved since before the injury. Kubiak said Monday he will practice and is very close. The deep ball can survive Bowers. The target count may not.
• Emanuel Wilson, RB, SEA. FAAB $4 if Price sits, $2 if he doesn't. Exchange $5.17. Price is $8.49. 21 carries, 92 yards, 41% of the snaps. Price is Questionable (chest) and the early word is that it isn't serious. Same conditional as Bigsby, smaller discount.
• Keon Coleman, WR, BUF. FAAB $3. Exchange $5.74. Moore is frozen at $7.21. Moore is Out (shoulder). Coleman caught all 6 targets for 63 yards on 74% of the snaps.
• Alvin Kamara, RB, NO. FAAB $5. Exchange $6.50. Etienne's targets went from 9 to 2. Kamara had 6 targets and 9 carries, and only 29% of the snaps. Etienne still played 54%. Committee, not a bell-cow. The share dipped from $6.77 to $6.50, so the market has not paid for those targets. Don't pay starter money.
• Darren Waller, TE, CAR. FAAB $3. Exchange $9.53. 3 targets, 2 touchdowns, 16.8 points, 44% of the snaps. The share jumped from $7.89 to $9.53. Two scores got priced. Three targets is why the bid stays small. Carolina is at Cleveland.
• Oronde Gadsden, TE, LAC. FAAB $2. Exchange $6.67. Njoku is Out (knee) and frozen. Gadsden had 2 targets, a touchdown, 8.8 points, 44% of the snaps. Same kind of opening as Coleman, much less of a job.

Not claiming Kaleb Johnson (8 carries, 3.2 points) or Kalif Raymond (5 targets, 6.5, and Williams is Out). A look is not a job.

2QB only, Wednesday claims: Marcus Mariota starts Week 3. Daniels is Out (elbow). The starter is settled. The return date isn't. Tyson Bagent starts for Chicago while Williams is Out (hamstring) and frozen at $18.94. Bryce Young is the 1QB streamer if he's still free: 24.1, then 32.4, at Cleveland. Dart is Out (knee) after Monday night. We don't have a Week 2 line worth a bid on his replacement, so that one is a watch, not a claim.

Trade for / buy the dip

Half-PPR baselines, refreshed this morning.

• Drake London. Exchange $9.23, down from $10.47. Updated projection 13.1 a game. 5 targets, 6.9 points, 62% of the snaps, through two weeks of Cooper Rush and a Jack Strand pick-six. The Falcons named Penix the starter Monday. Our own board doesn't catch up until Wednesday's ~10:30am ET refresh, which is why Penix's return isn't in London's number yet. He plays Thursday at Green Bay, 8:15pm. The trade with a leaguemate is open until Thursday afternoon, but if you're pointing at our price as the evidence, get it before Wednesday morning, while it still shows the discount.
• Terry McLaurin. Exchange $6.33, down from $6.88. Updated projection 8.5 a game. 9 targets, 6.0 points, 70% of the snaps. Mariota is a downgrade from Daniels, and the price already shows it. Trade him before Sunday if you're buying the dip.
• George Pickens. Exchange $9.16, down from $10.31. Updated projection 11.3 a game. 8 targets, 7.0 points, 76% of the snaps. Volume is there. The splash plays aren't. Sunday window.
• Malik Nabers, only if the X-ray comes back clean. Exchange $7.31, down from $11.25. Updated projection 11.6 a game. Monday he popped the shoulder back in, came back, and finished 1 catch for 1 yard on 4 targets and 81% of the snaps. He said the shoulder is OK. As of send we don't have the read. "I'm okay" isn't the same as a clean scan. If it comes back clean, that drop is the dip. If it doesn't, leave it. Don't claim a backup off one target.

Don't sell Chase because he bounced. He was $11.22. He's $12.77.

Sell / Drop

Do these before Wednesday claims, so the spot is free.

• Jonathon Brooks, RB, CAR. We said drop him last week. Week 2 was 5 carries and 1.6 points. Hubbard still has the job.
• Wan'Dale Robinson, WR, TEN. 1 target, 1.4 points. The share is still $8-plus from an older role. The Titans aren't giving it back.
• Jordan Addison, WR, MIN. Five targets, 3.1 points, and another quiet week before that.
• Jordan Mason, RB, MIN. IR (thumb). Keep him only if you have the IR slot.
• Rico Dowdle, RB, PIT. Out (toe). Warren already had the backfield. Drop unless you have IR.

Where we differ

• Mark Andrews. Most drop lists have him gone this week. He had 7 targets, 7.9 points, 71% of the snaps, with Flowers out. Hold. His share is $7.13.
• Jordan Love. Same lists, same call. We still have him at 18.5 a game, and after settlement he's $16.81. Hold. He plays Thursday.
• MarShawn Lloyd. The one name on those lists we'd also allow, and only in a shallow league. 27% of the snaps, a score, a fumble. Share $8.97. Our projection still says 11.7 a game. That number assumes more of the backfield than Green Bay is actually giving him, so the observed role is the real signal here, not the projection.
• Kamara. The consensus has him as a top back because Etienne's targets collapsed. We have him fifth on the back half of the list, because he played 29% of the snaps.

On the Exchange

https://waiverwire.com/exchange

Settlement already ran this morning. Jonah Coleman at $7.64, Bigsby at $4.46, and Wilson at $5.17 are still priced like backups. Boston at $10.47 and Bateman at $7.31 moved, and neither has caught a 93% snap share. London at $9.23 is the one with a clock: our own board updates Wednesday morning at the next projections refresh, well before Thursday's 8:15pm kickoff.

Paste this in the group chat: Penix starts Thursday. London is $9.23, and our board hasn't caught up yet. Get the trade in before Thursday.

Earnings Season: Week 3

Ten questions. Estimates lock Sunday at noon ET, an hour before the early games. Thursday is Falcons at Packers, 8:15pm, so that game is already gone if you wait until Friday.

https://waiverwire.com/earnings-season

Open Field

Week 3 challenges are open. Rosters with Thursday names lock at that kickoff.

https://waiverwire.com/open-field