2026 Draft Cheat Sheet

Standard · ranked by floor (safe) · season points (17-game), floor-to-ceiling, value over replacement and three-factor risk from WaiverWire's own engine. Tiers mark the value cliffs.

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By PositionAll Players
Half-PPRPPRStandardSuperflex
Risk strategy
Safe Balanced Upside
Ranks by floor.

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How to read this sheet
123 season points (per-game floor × 17 games)
ADP market average draft position (half-PPR consensus)
Bye team bye week
FC floor–ceiling per game (~10th–90th percentile outcomes)
VOR value over replacement: season points above a 12-team replacement starter
R rookie
InjuryQquestionable,Oout / IR / PUP (live from Sleeper)
Risk(week-to-week consistency):low = steadymediumhigh = volatile
Tip click any player name to see this season's projected line next to last season's actual stats.
Tiers group players of similar value. A new tier marks a projected-points cliff (a meaningful drop-off). Players inside a tier are roughly interchangeable, so only reach past a tier break when you need that position.

Quarterbacks

top 5
Tier 1
1
Patrick MahomesQ200
KCadp 74.5bye 512-27 fcvor +76low
Tier 2
2
Lamar Jackson142
BALadp 53.8bye 138-30 fcvor +19medium
3
Josh Allen168
BUFadp 27.4bye 710-38 fcvor +44low
4
Joe Burrow152
CINadp 45.8bye 69-32 fcvor +28medium
5
Jalen Hurts167
PHIadp 98bye 1010-27 fcvor +43low

Running Backs

top 5
Tier 1
1
Kyren Williams105
LARadp 30.8bye 116-16 fcvor +65low
2
Bijan Robinson99
ATLadp 2.1bye 116-20 fcvor +59low
3
Jahmyr Gibbs99
DETadp 1.6bye 66-29 fcvor +58low
Tier 2
4
De'Von AchaneQ82
MIAadp 9.8bye 65-18 fcvor +42low
5
Christian McCaffrey75
SFadp 5.1bye 84-17 fcvor +34medium

Wide Receivers

top 5
Tier 1
1
Rashee RiceQ77
KCadp 27.1bye 54-15 fcvor +52medium
2
Puka Nacua91
LARadp 2.7bye 115-22 fcvor +68medium
3
Nico Collins77
HOUadp 23.5bye 85-15 fcvor +54low
4
CeeDee Lamb66
DALadp 12.5bye 144-14 fcvor +43low
5
Amon-Ra St. Brown72
DETadp 8.5bye 64-19 fcvor +49low

Tight Ends

top 5
Tier 1
1
Trey McBride66
ARIadp 36.3bye 144-17 fcvor +40medium
Tier 2
2
George KittleQ48
SFadp 109.5bye 83-11 fcvor +22low
3
Juwan Johnson33
NObye 82-10 fcvor +7low
4
Harold FanninQ34
CLEadp 79.2bye 112-10 fcvor +10medium
Tier 3
5
Sam LaPortaQ32
DETadp 79bye 62-10 fcvor +5low

Kickers

top 5
Tier 1
1
Andre Szmyt70
CLEbye 114-11 fcvor +24medium
2
Nick Folk69
ATLbye 114-12 fcvor +22medium
3
Riley Patterson68
MIAbye 64-12 fcvor +21medium
4
Jake Bates78
DETadp 144bye 65-13 fcvor +31medium
5
Zane Gonzalez85
MIAbye 65-14 fcvor +38medium

Defense / ST

top 5
Tier 1
1
Texans DST25
HOUadp 107.3bye 82-17 fcvor +22high
2
Broncos DST47
DENadp 95.9bye 103-18 fcvor +44high
3
Eagles DST36
PHIadp 127.8bye 102-16 fcvor +33high
4
Steelers DST29
PITadp 147.1bye 92-15 fcvor +26high
5
Rams DST7
LARadp 103.5bye 110-17 fcvor +5very high

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Projections, floor-to-ceiling and three-factor risk (volatility, year-over-year change, latent factors) are generated by WaiverWire's own engine and blended with market ADP. Bye weeks from the 2026 schedule. Market ADP last refreshed Jul 21, 2026.

Projections are statistical estimates only. Not financial or gambling advice.