2026 Draft Cheat Sheet

Standard · ranked by projected points (balanced) · season points (17-game), floor-to-ceiling, value over replacement and three-factor risk from WaiverWire's own engine. Tiers mark the value cliffs.

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By PositionAll Players
Half-PPRPPRStandardSuperflex
Risk strategy
Safe Balanced Upside
Ranks by expected points.

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How to read this sheet
123 season points (per-game proj × 17 games)
ADP market average draft position (half-PPR consensus)
Bye team bye week
FC floor–ceiling per game (~10th–90th percentile outcomes)
VOR value over replacement: season points above a 12-team replacement starter
R rookie
InjuryQquestionable,Oout / IR / PUP (live from Sleeper)
Risk(week-to-week consistency):low = steadymediumhigh = volatile
Tip click any player name to see this season's projected line next to last season's actual stats.
Tiers group players of similar value. A new tier marks a projected-points cliff (a meaningful drop-off). Players inside a tier are roughly interchangeable, so only reach past a tier break when you need that position.

Quarterbacks

top 5
Tier 1
1
Josh Allen395
BUFadp 27.4bye 710-38 fcvor +121low
Tier 2
2
Joe Burrow346
CINadp 45.8bye 69-32 fcvor +72medium
3
Lamar Jackson334
BALadp 53.8bye 138-30 fcvor +60medium
4
Patrick MahomesQ324
KCadp 74.5bye 512-27 fcvor +49low
Tier 3
5
Trevor Lawrence315
JAXadp 85.4bye 79-27 fcvor +40medium

Running Backs

top 5
Tier 1
1
Jahmyr Gibbs284
DETadp 1.6bye 66-29 fcvor +155low
Tier 2
2
Jonathan Taylor234
INDadp 6.3bye 134-24 fcvor +105low
3
Bijan Robinson220
ATLadp 2.1bye 116-20 fcvor +91low
4
James Cook217
BUFadp 10.1bye 75-21 fcvor +88low
Tier 3
5
De'Von AchaneQ192
MIAadp 9.8bye 65-18 fcvor +64low

Wide Receivers

top 5
Tier 1
1
Puka Nacua225
LARadp 2.7bye 115-22 fcvor +122medium
Tier 2
2
Ja'Marr Chase185
CINadp 4bye 63-19 fcvor +83low
3
Amon-Ra St. Brown181
DETadp 8.5bye 64-19 fcvor +78low
4
Jaxon Smith-Njigba179
SEAadp 6.6bye 113-17 fcvor +74medium
5
Rashee RiceQ170
KCadp 27.1bye 54-15 fcvor +66medium

Tight Ends

top 5
Tier 1
1
Trey McBride168
ARIadp 36.3bye 144-17 fcvor +74medium
Tier 2
2
George KittleQ120
SFadp 109.5bye 83-11 fcvor +26low
3
Brock Bowers116
LVadp 43.4bye 132-12 fcvor +22medium
Tier 3
4
Tucker KraftQ102
GBadp 76.3bye 111-12 fcvor +8very high
5
Colston Loveland102
CHIadp 55.2bye 101-13 fcvor +8medium

Kickers

top 5
Tier 1
1
Ka'imi Fairbairn160
HOUbye 85-17 fcvor +14high
2
Brandon Aubrey154
DALadp 129.1bye 143-18 fcvor +8high
3
Spencer ShraderQ153
INDbye 131-17 fcvor +8high
4
Jason Myers153
SEAadp 150.1bye 114-17 fcvor +8high
5
Zane Gonzalez149
MIAbye 65-14 fcvor +4medium

Defense / ST

top 5
Tier 1
1
Seahawks DST168
SEAadp 90.5bye 111-19 fcvor +45very high
2
Broncos DST161
DENadp 95.9bye 103-18 fcvor +38high
3
Texans DST157
HOUadp 107.3bye 82-17 fcvor +35high
Tier 2
4
Vikings DST145
MINadp 139.4bye 61-17 fcvor +23very high
5
Eagles DST144
PHIadp 127.8bye 102-16 fcvor +22high

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Projections, floor-to-ceiling and three-factor risk (volatility, year-over-year change, latent factors) are generated by WaiverWire's own engine and blended with market ADP. Bye weeks from the 2026 schedule. Market ADP last refreshed Jul 21, 2026.

Projections are statistical estimates only. Not financial or gambling advice.