2026 Draft Cheat Sheet

Half-PPR · ranked by ceiling (upside) · season points (17-game), floor-to-ceiling, value over replacement and three-factor risk from WaiverWire's own engine. Tiers mark the value cliffs.

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By PositionAll Players
Half-PPRPPRStandardSuperflex
Risk strategy
Safe Balanced Upside
Ranks by ceiling.

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How to read this sheet
123 season points (per-game ceiling × 17 games)
ADP market average draft position (half-PPR consensus)
Bye team bye week
FC floor–ceiling per game (~10th–90th percentile outcomes)
VOR value over replacement: season points above a 12-team replacement starter
R rookie
InjuryQquestionable,Oout / IR / PUP (live from Sleeper)
Risk(week-to-week consistency):low = steadymediumhigh = volatile
Tip click any player name to see this season's projected line next to last season's actual stats.
Tiers group players of similar value. A new tier marks a projected-points cliff (a meaningful drop-off). Players inside a tier are roughly interchangeable, so only reach past a tier break when you need that position.

Quarterbacks

top 5
Tier 1
1
Josh Allen641
BUFadp 27.4bye 710-38 fcvor +231low
Tier 2
2
Joe Burrow535
CINadp 45.8bye 69-32 fcvor +124medium
Tier 3
3
Lamar Jackson503
BALadp 53.8bye 138-30 fcvor +93medium
4
Brock Purdy483
SFadp 110bye 87-28 fcvor +73low
Tier 4
5
Dak PrescottQ470
DALadp 61.2bye 148-28 fcvor +59medium

Running Backs

top 5
Tier 1
1
Jahmyr Gibbs558
DETadp 1.6bye 67-33 fcvor +293low
Tier 2
2
Jonathan Taylor438
INDadp 6.3bye 134-26 fcvor +173low
Tier 3
3
TreVeyon Henderson387
NEadp 59.3bye 111-23 fcvor +122medium
4
James Cook379
BUFadp 10.1bye 75-22 fcvor +114low
5
Bijan Robinson377
ATLadp 2.1bye 117-22 fcvor +112low

Wide Receivers

top 5
Tier 1
1
Puka Nacua483
LARadp 2.7bye 117-28 fcvor +240medium
Tier 2
2
Ja'Marr Chase411
CINadp 4bye 64-24 fcvor +168low
3
Amon-Ra St. Brown410
DETadp 8.5bye 66-24 fcvor +167low
Tier 3
4
Jaxon Smith-Njigba371
SEAadp 6.6bye 114-22 fcvor +126medium
5
Drake LondonQ369
ATLadp 13.6bye 113-22 fcvor +126low

Tight Ends

top 5
Tier 1
1
Trey McBride384
ARIadp 36.3bye 145-23 fcvor +160medium
Tier 2
2
Colby Parkinson281
LARbye 111-17 fcvor +57high
3
Colston Loveland271
CHIadp 55.2bye 101-16 fcvor +47medium
4
Brock Bowers270
LVadp 43.4bye 133-16 fcvor +47medium
Tier 3
5
Dallas Goedert252
PHIadp 130.7bye 102-15 fcvor +28low

Kickers

top 5
Tier 1
1
Brandon Aubrey308
DALadp 129.1bye 143-18 fcvor +55high
Tier 2
2
Ka'imi Fairbairn291
HOUbye 85-17 fcvor +37high
3
Spencer ShraderQ290
INDbye 131-17 fcvor +36high
4
Jason Myers287
SEAadp 150.1bye 114-17 fcvor +33high
Tier 3
5
Charlie Smyth274
NObye 81-16 fcvor +20high

Defense / ST

top 5
Tier 1
1
Seahawks DST325
SEAadp 90.5bye 111-19 fcvor +67very high
2
Broncos DST308
DENadp 95.9bye 103-18 fcvor +50high
Tier 2
3
Jets DST292
NYJadp 179.9bye 130-17 fcvor +34very high
4
Vikings DST290
MINadp 139.4bye 61-17 fcvor +32very high
5
Texans DST285
HOUadp 107.3bye 82-17 fcvor +26high

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Projections, floor-to-ceiling and three-factor risk (volatility, year-over-year change, latent factors) are generated by WaiverWire's own engine and blended with market ADP. Bye weeks from the 2026 schedule. Market ADP last refreshed Jul 21, 2026.

Projections are statistical estimates only. Not financial or gambling advice.