2026 Draft Cheat Sheet

Half-PPR · ranked by floor (safe) · season points (17-game), floor-to-ceiling, value over replacement and three-factor risk from WaiverWire's own engine. Tiers mark the value cliffs.

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By PositionAll Players
Half-PPRPPRStandardSuperflex
Risk strategy
Safe Balanced Upside
Ranks by floor.

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How to read this sheet
123 season points (per-game floor × 17 games)
ADP market average draft position (half-PPR consensus)
Bye team bye week
FC floor–ceiling per game (~10th–90th percentile outcomes)
VOR value over replacement: season points above a 12-team replacement starter
R rookie
InjuryQquestionable,Oout / IR / PUP (live from Sleeper)
Risk(week-to-week consistency):low = steadymediumhigh = volatile
Tip click any player name to see this season's projected line next to last season's actual stats.
Tiers group players of similar value. A new tier marks a projected-points cliff (a meaningful drop-off). Players inside a tier are roughly interchangeable, so only reach past a tier break when you need that position.

Quarterbacks

top 5
Tier 1
1
Patrick MahomesQ200
KCadp 74.5bye 512-27 fcvor +76low
Tier 2
2
Lamar Jackson142
BALadp 53.8bye 138-30 fcvor +19medium
3
Josh Allen168
BUFadp 27.4bye 710-38 fcvor +44low
4
Joe Burrow152
CINadp 45.8bye 69-32 fcvor +28medium
5
Jalen Hurts167
PHIadp 98bye 1010-27 fcvor +43low

Running Backs

top 5
Tier 1
1
Bijan Robinson111
ATLadp 2.1bye 117-22 fcvor +67low
2
Kyren Williams113
LARadp 30.8bye 117-18 fcvor +69low
3
Jahmyr Gibbs110
DETadp 1.6bye 67-33 fcvor +66low
4
De'Von AchaneQ94
MIAadp 9.8bye 66-21 fcvor +50low
Tier 2
5
Christian McCaffrey86
SFadp 5.1bye 85-19 fcvor +42medium

Wide Receivers

top 5
Tier 1
1
Rashee RiceQ99
KCadp 27.1bye 56-19 fcvor +61medium
2
Puka Nacua115
LARadp 2.7bye 117-28 fcvor +80medium
3
Nico Collins95
HOUadp 23.5bye 86-18 fcvor +60low
4
CeeDee Lamb88
DALadp 12.5bye 145-19 fcvor +52low
5
Amon-Ra St. Brown93
DETadp 8.5bye 66-24 fcvor +57low

Tight Ends

top 5
Tier 1
1
Trey McBride90
ARIadp 36.3bye 145-23 fcvor +66medium
Tier 2
2
George KittleQ61
SFadp 109.5bye 84-14 fcvor +36low
3
Juwan Johnson46
NObye 83-13 fcvor +21low
Tier 3
4
Tyler Warren44
INDadp 60.4bye 133-10 fcvor +20low
5
Harold FanninQ43
CLEadp 79.2bye 113-13 fcvor +20medium

Kickers

top 5
Tier 1
1
Andre Szmyt70
CLEbye 114-11 fcvor +24medium
2
Nick Folk69
ATLbye 114-12 fcvor +22medium
3
Riley Patterson68
MIAbye 64-12 fcvor +21medium
4
Jake Bates78
DETadp 144bye 65-13 fcvor +31medium
5
Zane Gonzalez85
MIAbye 65-14 fcvor +38medium

Defense / ST

top 5
Tier 1
1
Texans DST25
HOUadp 107.3bye 82-17 fcvor +22high
2
Broncos DST47
DENadp 95.9bye 103-18 fcvor +44high
3
Eagles DST36
PHIadp 127.8bye 102-16 fcvor +33high
4
Steelers DST29
PITadp 147.1bye 92-15 fcvor +26high
5
Rams DST7
LARadp 103.5bye 110-17 fcvor +5very high

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Projections, floor-to-ceiling and three-factor risk (volatility, year-over-year change, latent factors) are generated by WaiverWire's own engine and blended with market ADP. Bye weeks from the 2026 schedule. Market ADP last refreshed Jul 21, 2026.

Projections are statistical estimates only. Not financial or gambling advice.